BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
69-44 · +1 NL WEST · L4 · 4-6 L10
@TUE 8:05 PM ETCHC HOME PARK
64-49 · +2 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
CHICAGOCHC
Weather
76°F · 5mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Tarik Skubal
LHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+118
ERA
2.79
IP
96.2
K/9
10.8
BB/9
1.3
WHIP
0.91
L5 STARTS2.08 ERA · 34.2% K · 5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
25%
19%
15%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSinkerSliderCurveball
Javier Assad
RHP · CHCPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.75
IP
69.2
K/9
6.2
BB/9
2.3
WHIP
1.16
L5 STARTS1.56 ERA · 22.7% K · 6.7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
20%
15%
Sinker4-Seam FastballCutterChangeupSweeperSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 69%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD CHC

Game Markets

LAD @ CHC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

69%

1st 5 Innings

CHC F5

25%

Game Total

Over 8.5

46%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

45%

Run Line

CHC -1.5

17%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

55%

Team Total

CHC Over 4.5

26%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore CHC by 2.17 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 5.34, CHC 3.17
  • Tarik Skubal (LAD) vs Javier Assad (CHC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tarik Skubal

LAD SP · vs. CHC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

93%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

86%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

73%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

58%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

42%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

47%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

33%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.1 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.1 strikeouts
  • 93% to reach 5+ against CHC
JA

Javier Assad

CHC SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

46%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

7%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

60%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

46%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.6 strikeouts
  • 11% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TARIK SKUBAL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CHC hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%30.5%OPS-against.554
vs Left-handedK%32.6%OPS-against.720
CHC vs RHP (team)OPS.737K%21.8%

JAVIER ASSAD SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%14.5%OPS-against.610
vs Left-handedK%19.4%OPS-against.797
LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.744K%19.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CHC BATTERS vs TARIK SKUBAL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs JAVIER ASSAD

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 0·CHC 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 3·CHC 3
6 played · 13 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%LAD
LAD 84 · CHC 70 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-04CHC 10-5 · Slugfest
2026-04-26LAD 6-0 · Blowout
2026-04-25LAD 12-4 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAD67¢ · 67%
CHC37¢ · 37%
Total 14.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
LAD -1.5— · —
CHC +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→9→8→9→17.5→14.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

CHC OFFENSE

.337L15 team wOBA
+21 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT76° · 5mph out to LF
WRIGLEY FIELD
95HR
HR factor0.95 · below avg
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Wind-dependent — check gametime.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind5 mph out to LF
Humidity80%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO