BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
59-52 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 5-5 L10
@TUE 7:10 PM ETBOS HOME PARK
60-51 · +3 AL EAST · W5 · 8-2 L10
BOSTONBOS
Weather
81°F · 3mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Davis Martin
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
3.62
IP
117.0
K/9
8.2
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.26
L5 STARTS6.18 ERA · 14.5% K · 10% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
18%
15%
14%
13%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerChangeupSliderCutterCurveball
Patrick Sandoval
LHP · BOSPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.32
IP
19.0
K/9
9.5
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.58
L5 STARTS3.44 ERA · 23.3% K · 7% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRed Sox 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS BOS

Game Markets

CWS @ BOS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

BOS to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

BOS F5

47%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

54%

Run Line

BOS -1.5

40%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

BOS Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

BOS projects to outscore CWS by 0.42 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.39, BOS 4.81
  • Davis Martin (CWS) vs Patrick Sandoval (BOS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DM

Davis Martin

CWS SP · vs. BOS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

18%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 40% to reach 5+ against BOS
PS

Patrick Sandoval

BOS SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

31%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

46%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

32%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 45% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DAVIS MARTIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BOS hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%23.5%OPS-against.663
vs Left-handedK%20.5%OPS-against.694
BOS vs LHP (team)OPS.780K%21.0%

PATRICK SANDOVAL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.1%OPS-against.625
vs Left-handedK%23.8%OPS-against.151
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.728K%23.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

BOS BATTERS vs DAVIS MARTIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs PATRICK SANDOVAL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 0·BOS 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 0·BOS 3
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%BOS
CWS 50 · BOS 57 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-09BOS 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-07-08BOS 5-0
2026-07-07BOS 8-1 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS48¢ · 48%
BOS56¢ · 56%
Total 9
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5— · —
BOS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.285L15 team wOBA
-31 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

BOS OFFENSE

.316L15 team wOBA
0 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT81° · 3mph out to CF
FENWAY PARK
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor1.08 · +
Doubles factor1.22 · +

Doubles factory (Green Monster).

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
81°F
Wind3 mph out to CF
Humidity50%
Rain0%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO