NEW YORKNYM
47-66 · +5 NL EAST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-03CLE HOME PARK
57-56 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 3-7 L10
CLEVELANDCLE
Weather
74°F · 5mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 63%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

NYM CLE

Game Markets

NYM @ CLE · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

63%

1st 5 Innings

CLE F5

52%

Game Total

Over 8.5

50%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

CLE -1.5

46%

Team Total

NYM Over 4.5

35%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore NYM by 1.17 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: NYM 3.85, CLE 5.02
  • Sean Manaea (NYM) vs Joey Cantillo (CLE)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SM

Sean Manaea

NYM SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

43%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

89%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

83%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

72%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.2 strikeouts
  • 61% to reach 5+ against CLE
JC

Joey Cantillo

CLE SP · vs. NYM

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

68%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

29%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

32%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

20%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 68% to reach 5+ against NYM

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CLE vs LHP (team)OPS.652K%22.8%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYM hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYM vs RHP (team)OPS.677K%22.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CLE BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

NYM BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
NYM 0·CLE 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
NYM 0·CLE 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
59%NYM
NYM 13 · CLE 9 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-08-06CLE 4-1
2025-08-05CLE 3-2 · One-run game
2025-08-04CLE 7-6 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
NYM46¢ · 46%
CLE59¢ · 59%
Total 7.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
NYM -1.5 ·
CLE +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

NYM OFFENSE

.283L15 team wOBA
-33 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CLE OFFENSE

.298L15 team wOBA
-18 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT74° · 5mph out to RF
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
74°F
Wind5 mph out to RF
Humidity68%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GUARDIANS 63%

Mean score sim 3.95.0 · projected total 8.9 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read