Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Steven Kwan · Over 0.5 1+ Runs
reaches base often, gets pushed across
Steven Kwan · Under 0.5 <1 Hits
lineup spot + form pushes Over
Brayan Rocchio · Under 0.5 <1 Hits
barrel% surging, sees enough PAs
Chase DeLauter · Under 0.5 <1 Hits
lineup spot + form pushes Over
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
169 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 21
ARI @ CLE · full-game reads
Moneyline
CLE to win
66%
1st 5 Innings
CLE F5
58%
Game Total
Over 8.5
39%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
46%
Run Line
CLE -1.5
47%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
26%
Team Total
CLE Over 4.5
46%
THE READ
CLE projects to outscore ARI by 1.40 runs across 5,000 trials.
ARI SP · vs. CLE
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
21%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
3%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
85%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
42%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
66%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
52%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
CLE SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
97%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
91%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
81%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
68%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
53%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
96%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
72%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
46%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
32%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.8 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
ARI · bats S · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
18%
Hits
1+ hits
65%
Hits
2+ hits
25%
Total Bases
2+ bases
43%
Total Bases
3+ bases
28%
Total Bases
4+ bases
22%
RBIs
1+ RBI
37%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
16%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 18% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
15%
Hits
1+ hits
71%
Hits
2+ hits
31%
Total Bases
2+ bases
49%
Total Bases
3+ bases
33%
Total Bases
4+ bases
23%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Stands out most on 4+ bases — 23% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats R · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
34%
Total Bases
3+ bases
19%
Total Bases
4+ bases
14%
RBIs
1+ RBI
30%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 12% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats R · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
66%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
39%
Total Bases
3+ bases
22%
Total Bases
4+ bases
15%
RBIs
1+ RBI
33%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ RBI — 33% against 26% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats L · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
19%
Total Bases
4+ bases
12%
RBIs
1+ RBI
30%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 11% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
62%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
28%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 11% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats R · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
33%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 10% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
3%
Hits
1+ hits
62%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
14%
Total Bases
4+ bases
7%
RBIs
1+ RBI
20%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
5%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 22% against 20% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats S · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
8%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
21%
Total Bases
2+ bases
32%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
27%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 60%.
CLE · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
55%
Hits
2+ hits
16%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
15%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
27%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 55%.
CLE · bats R · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
58%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
27%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 58%.
ARI · bats S · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
8%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 60%.
ARI · bats R · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
59%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
30%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
23%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 59%.
ARI · bats R · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
6%
Hits
1+ hits
57%
Hits
2+ hits
18%
Total Bases
2+ bases
30%
Total Bases
3+ bases
14%
Total Bases
4+ bases
8%
RBIs
1+ RBI
19%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
6%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 57%.
CLE · bats S · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
7%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
14%
Total Bases
4+ bases
8%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 56% against 60%.
ARI · bats R · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
55%
Hits
2+ hits
16%
Total Bases
2+ bases
30%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ HR at 9% against 9%.
CLE · bats L · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
7%
Hits
1+ hits
55%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
29%
Total Bases
3+ bases
15%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 55% against 60%.
CLE · bats R · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
53%
Hits
2+ hits
14%
Total Bases
2+ bases
27%
Total Bases
3+ bases
14%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ HR at 9% against 9%.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Pitcher-friendly.
Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 3.2–4.6 · projected total 7.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
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