Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Tanner Bibee · Under 17.5 <18 Outs
quick-hook risk: walks + traffic shorten the start
Tanner Bibee · Over 4.5 5+ Ks
K-monster arsenal
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
169 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 21
ARI @ CLE · full-game reads
Moneyline
CLE to win
54%
1st 5 Innings
CLE F5
47%
Game Total
Over 8.5
42%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
46%
Run Line
CLE -1.5
36%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
37%
Team Total
CLE Over 4.5
40%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 8.12 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
ARI SP · vs. CLE
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
12%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
26%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
0%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
47%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
32%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
CLE SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
67%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
49%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
32%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
18%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
9%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
94%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
67%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
63%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
49%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.5 Ks.
ARI · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
20%
Hits
1+ hits
70%
Hits
2+ hits
30%
Total Bases
2+ bases
50%
Total Bases
3+ bases
35%
Total Bases
4+ bases
27%
RBIs
1+ RBI
36%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
16%
THE READ
Stands out most on 4+ bases — 27% against 15% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats S · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
17%
Hits
1+ hits
70%
Hits
2+ hits
30%
Total Bases
2+ bases
46%
Total Bases
3+ bases
31%
Total Bases
4+ bases
23%
RBIs
1+ RBI
41%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
17%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 17% against 11% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats R · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
72%
Hits
2+ hits
33%
Total Bases
2+ bases
47%
Total Bases
3+ bases
28%
Total Bases
4+ bases
19%
RBIs
1+ RBI
37%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
14%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 33% against 23% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats R · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
16%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
39%
Total Bases
3+ bases
24%
Total Bases
4+ bases
18%
RBIs
1+ RBI
36%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
15%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 16% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats L · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
14%
Hits
1+ hits
66%
Hits
2+ hits
26%
Total Bases
2+ bases
41%
Total Bases
3+ bases
25%
Total Bases
4+ bases
19%
RBIs
1+ RBI
33%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 4+ bases — 19% against 15% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats L · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
11%
Hits
1+ hits
68%
Hits
2+ hits
28%
Total Bases
2+ bases
40%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
15%
RBIs
1+ RBI
34%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 28% against 23% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats R · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
14%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
37%
Total Bases
3+ bases
22%
Total Bases
4+ bases
16%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 14% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
40%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
16%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 13% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
ARI · bats S · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
35%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
29%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 64%.
ARI · bats R · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
21%
Total Bases
2+ bases
35%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
14%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 60%.
CLE · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
63%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
21%
Total Bases
4+ bases
15%
RBIs
1+ RBI
28%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 63%.
CLE · bats R · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
18%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
29%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 56%.
ARI · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
11%
Hits
1+ hits
61%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
33%
Total Bases
3+ bases
19%
Total Bases
4+ bases
14%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 61%.
CLE · bats S · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
8%
Hits
1+ hits
61%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
33%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
28%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 61%.
ARI · bats R · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
7%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
21%
Total Bases
2+ bases
34%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 60%.
CLE · bats R · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
59%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
28%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 59% against 63%.
CLE · bats L · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
7%
Hits
1+ hits
55%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
30%
Total Bases
3+ bases
15%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 55% against 63%.
CLE · bats L · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
4%
Hits
1+ hits
55%
Hits
2+ hits
16%
Total Bases
2+ bases
26%
Total Bases
3+ bases
11%
Total Bases
4+ bases
7%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 55% against 63%.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Pitcher-friendly.
Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 4.0–4.2 · projected total 8.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
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